Winners Follow Trends, Or?
When you play baccarat in live casinos you see a lot of players around the table writing down the outcome in every hand to follow trends and patterns in the game. The casino often provides players with pen and paper to help them out.
In online casinos, the software sometimes shows the results in previous hands for the same reason – to help players see trends.
Is this a good strategy for the player?
No, of course it isn’t. If it was, do you think casinos would encourage players to take notes?
In fact, making players see patterns in the game only helps the casino. Every baccarat hand is an isolated event and what happened in the last hand doesn’t matter, but making people believe otherwise might get them to place that extra bet they didn’t plan.
Good for the casino, bad for the player!
So if you want to make good use of the pen and paper write down “There Are No Patterns!” and keep the note in front of you for the entire gambling session.
Clever Players Bet Banker
As said in baccarat rules, there are three types of bets in baccarat: banker, player and tie. The first two offer decent odds for the player whereas the latter is a real sucker bet.
If you want to minimize the house advantage as much as possible, bet banker. The casino will only have a 1.17% edge.
If you feel the need to mix it up, bet player where the house has a 1.36% edge.
If you feel like losing money, bet tie. On this wager the house advantage has escalated to 14.12%.
Baccarat Card Counting
There is an obvious similarity between blackjack and baccarat: both are card games in which a dealer draws cards from a shoe.
In blackjack we know that a player can gain an edge over the casino by counting cards and determine when the deck is stacked with cards in favor for the player. It would be easy to think that the same is true in baccarat.
Unfortunately it isn’t.
Gambling experts and mathematicians have tried to count cards in baccarat. They’ve come to the conclusion that it’s possible to lower the house advantage, but it requires quite complicated calculations and the edge is only reduced by a fraction of a percent.
So for the regular gambler, counting cards in baccarat is not an option. And for the math whiz, it’s not worthwhile. He should cross the casino floor to the blackjack table instead.
Progressive Baccarat Systems
When you look around on baccarat sites online you’ll find a lot of strategy tips involving progressive betting systems, which means that you in different ways increase the wager when a hand is over.
Martingale system is probably the most popular. When using the Martingale system, players double their bets after every loss. When they finally win, the profit is the same as the size of the first wager.
Other popular progressive systems are The Labouchere System, the Paroli System, the 1-3-2-6 system etc. There are tons of them, and they work in similar ways. You increase your wagers to make up for losses.
The main problem with these systems is that they don’t eliminate the house advantage. What they do is basically giving you a number of small profits and, if you play long enough, one big loss. And then you’re usually done with the system; you’re probably done with baccarat altogether.
The system itself doesn’t eliminate the house advantage. In the long run, using a system has no impact on your game whatsoever. The dangerous thing, though, is that it can make you believe that you’re on to something, that you might be able to beat the game this way.
So if you look for a winning baccarat strategy, disregard the so-called baccarat-system experts.
What Baccarat Strategy Works?
Baccarat is like most casino games. You should play it for fun, because you like the entertainment and for the chance of getting lucky.
Set a bankroll for a gambling session and stick to it. Decide how much you’re willing to lose AND how much you have to win to stop playing
If you lose money, walk away when you’ve reached your limit. If you win, do the same.
This will probably shorten your gambling sessions considerably, but if you carry on playing when you’re winning, the house edge will eventually grind you back to red numbers.
It might sound boring but this is the truth.
There is an edge that you can’t get around, but if you like playing, of course you should do so. Just make sure that you do it wisely: Bet on the banker, don’t listen to strategy experts and stop playing when the bankroll limit is reached.
This maximizes the chance of getting lucky and actually walking away with a profit once in a while.